Kristen Soltis Anderson: If the Economy Is Good Next November, GOP Will Avoid a Disastrous Midterm

EXCERPT:

SOLTIS ANDERSON: “Well, it really depends on how you word the question. And this perhaps, more than any bill I’ve seen recently, is so susceptible to that dynamic because it is one big bill that includes hundreds of different things. If I poll test it, do you believe that you should only get government benefits for health care if you’re working, if you’re able-bodied? People will say yes. Do you think that government benefits should only go to people who are here legally? People will say yes. But if you say, do you want to cut Medicaid? People will say no. If you say, do you want to cut government spending on the following programs that people all like? They’ll say no. And so, this is one of those bills where how it gets messaged and which party sort of wins that war for defining what are the main marquee things people take from this bill is going to win. For Republicans, they’re banking on the notion that by passing this bill, enshrining into law the tax cuts that they began in 2017, keep that going for a longer term. If the economy is good next November, that they will benefit and they will avoid a disastrous midterm. Democrats, on the other hand, are really hoping that if this bill passes, that the personal effects people feel will be enough, that they’ll overwhelm any proposed macroeconomic benefit you’re getting from this.”