Oren on Israel: What‘s Going on Here Is a ‘Game of Chicken,’ Both Sides Are Seeing How Long They Can Endure the War

‘To see which side is going to sort of cry out first’

RUSH EXCERPT:
OREN: "Can‘t rule it out. The prime minister gave a statement yesterday. It‘s not the first time he gave such a statement, where he called on the people of Iran to rise up and overthrow the oppressive Iranian regime, and the regime is very, very unpopular. It has suppressed several attempted revolts over the years, very, very brutally, most recently by Iranian women, all of whom were killed. And so people are very, very fed up with the corruption, with the oppression of the Iranian government. And the Iranian government knows that. So it becomes a factor in their calculus. Israel has not, for example, and it probably could using. Cyber attacks, inhibit the the supply of electricity in Iran, the supply of water in Iran, which could bring the people out to the street. So for the time being, Israel is holding fire from using those particular means of putting pressure on the regime. But I think that now there‘s almost no anti-aircraft systems that are operative in Iran. Israeli aircraft are operating with impunity over tehran. That can‘t be very comfortable for the regime. So what‘s going on here is basically a game of chicken. A game of chicken where both sides are seeing how long they can endure a war of endurance, basically a war of attrition where every night 100 rockets could hit Israel. Keep our airport closed, keep us indoors, the schools are closed. And to see which side is going to sort of cry uncle first. In any case, this is going to end up back at the negotiating table. And the big question is whether the Iranians will come back to the negotiating table with a strengthened position or a much weakened position."

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