Byron York: Range of Joe Biden Job Approval Numbers Leads to Big Loss in Midterm Elections

EXCERPT:

YORK: "No, I don’t think so. As a matter of fact, I think presidential job approval is one of the main indicators, predictors of how his party will do in midterm elections. And first of all, first-term presidents usually lose seats in the House in their first midterms, they just almost always do. We have had a couple of exceptions, one was in 2002 when the country was at wartime after September 11th with George W. Bush and Bush actually picked up some seats, the other was just four years earlier, 1998 during the Lewinsky scandal in which Republicans were impeaching President Bill Clinton and the public did not like that. Clinton had a very high approval rating and his party actually picked up seats. Every other time, in decades and decades, the president’s party loses seats, and especially when the president’s job approval is low, below 50%. Joe Biden is about 41, 42% right now. That’s a little better than it was a couple months or two ago when it got down to 37 or so. But still, that is really the range of job approval that leads to a big loss in midterm elections."