Sean Trende on the Blue Wave: ‘Something Seems Off’

>> There has been talk ░░░░░░░░ about lowering the temperature ░░░░░░░░ political discourse Have you ░░░░░░░░ evidence of that I ░░░░░░░░ when we win you ░░░░░░░░ see evidence of that ░░░░░░░░ when we do win ░░░░░░░░ ll have as we ░░░░░░░░ the new Congress we ░░░░░░░░ honor the vows of ░░░░░░░░ founders From many one ░░░░░░░░ s okay to disagree ░░░░░░░░ the marketplace of ideas ░░░░░░░░ it s important to ░░░░░░░░ solutions that unify and ░░░░░░░░ divide That s what ░░░░░░░░ a big difference Jesse ░░░░░░░░ Pelosi guaranteeing democratic win ░░░░░░░░ the house This election ░░░░░░░░ the balance of power ░░░░░░░░ swing either way 23 ░░░░░░░░ seats in the house ░░░░░░░░ get control there The ░░░░░░░░ at large for ballot ░░░░░░░░ yeah Scott Rasmussen And ░░░░░░░░ trendy which is a ░░░░░░░░ name for a political ░░░░░░░░ We have seen wave ░░░░░░░░ in the past 94 ░░░░░░░░ Are you getting the ░░░░░░░░ usual seeing a 40 ░░░░░░░░ seat sweep democratic wave ░░░░░░░░ the Like they say ░░░░░░░░ is a reason we ░░░░░░░░ the elections We ll ░░░░░░░░ have to wait 48 ░░░░░░░░ The generic ballot has ░░░░░░░░ up 7 points Democrats ░░░░░░░░ Republicans are equally even ░░░░░░░░ There hasn t been ░░░░░░░░ dropoff in democratic registration ░░░░░░░░ you usually see in ░░░░░░░░ years I don t ░░░░░░░░ exactly what s going ░░░░░░░░ happen but something seems ░░░░░░░░ Jesse When you have ░░░░░░░░ media the Democrats even ░░░░░░░░ saying it s a ░░░░░░░░ that s what they ░░░░░░░░ in 2016 You are ░░░░░░░░ if they are wrong ░░░░░░░░ 2016 can they be ░░░░░░░░ again The 201 alcohol ░░░░░░░░ was the the 2016 ░░░░░░░░ the analysis People have ░░░░░░░░ expecting a blue wave ░░░░░░░░ a long time As ░░░░░░░░ mentioned there are indications ░░░░░░░░ are tighter What is ░░░░░░░░ from this entire discussion ░░░░░░░░ one or two point ░░░░░░░░ in turnout could have ░░░░░░░░ impact Jesse This thing ░░░░░░░░ not guaranteed And there ░░░░░░░░ a few days left ░░░░░░░░ s look at these ░░░░░░░░ races Arizona Florida Indiana ░░░░░░░░ A lot of these ░░░░░░░░ are predicting the Republicans ░░░░░░░░ do well in the ░░░░░░░░ How do you see ░░░░░░░░ It wouldn t shock ░░░░░░░░ if either candidate won ░░░░░░░░ of the races Republicans ░░░░░░░░ more likely to pick ░░░░░░░░ seats than to lose ░░░░░░░░ Republican that I m ░░░░░░░░ would say has the ░░░░░░░░ chance of wing is ░░░░░░░░ mcsally in Arizona Followed ░░░░░░░░ Braun Dean heller in ░░░░░░░░ has the toughest fight ░░░░░░░░ has all year He ░░░░░░░░ the on Republican incumbent ░░░░░░░░ in a state won ░░░░░░░░ Hillary Clinton You have ░░░░░░░░ these races on a ░░░░░░░░ s edge They tend ░░░░░░░░ fall all together in ░░░░░░░░ elections It s very ░░░░░░░░ we could wake up ░░░░░░░░ and Republicans haven t ░░░░░░░░ I think it s ░░░░░░░░ to emphasize we could ░░░░░░░░ up Wednesday morning and ░░░░░░░░ Republicans have picked up ░░░░░░░░ or five seats in ░░░░░░░░ Senate Jesse We can ░░░░░░░░ get to 60 And ░░░░░░░░ dreaming If they get ░░░░░░░░ 60 I should hang ░░░░░░░░ my spurs and go ░░░░░░░░ to freshman law Jesse ░░░░░░░░ of Judge Kavanaugh s ░░░░░░░░ backtracking object her claims ░░░░░░░░ she made the whole ░░░░░░░░ up.