RUSH TRANSCRIPT I m ░░░░░░░░ surprised to see the ░░░░░░░░ mccormick race getting closer ░░░░░░░░ is quite the well ░░░░░░░░ name in Pennsylvania Not ░░░░░░░░ he had a big ░░░░░░░░ early on but I ░░░░░░░░ we re seeing it ░░░░░░░░ closer to where the ░░░░░░░░ election is and I ░░░░░░░░ we ll see that ░░░░░░░░ other states as well ░░░░░░░░ Senate candidates and the ░░░░░░░░ race seem to be ░░░░░░░░ Kailey Michael berkman political ░░░░░░░░ professor at Penn state ░░░░░░░░ on the early edition ░░░░░░░░ balance of power here ░░░░░░░░ the late edition is ░░░░░░░░ Chamberlain and pat dennis ░░░░░░░░ if we look at ░░░░░░░░ state like Pennsylvania a ░░░░░░░░ state yes we care ░░░░░░░░ it for the presidential ░░░░░░░░ according to the cook ░░░░░░░░ report is a tossup ░░░░░░░░ casey and mccormick What ░░░░░░░░ changed or is it ░░░░░░░░ the Senate races are ░░░░░░░░ more in line with ░░░░░░░░ presidential race in a ░░░░░░░░ they won t Sarah ░░░░░░░░ Pennsylvania two things have ░░░░░░░░ Mccormick is a much ░░░░░░░░ candidate than os was ░░░░░░░░ if we had run ░░░░░░░░ two years ago we ░░░░░░░░ have him in the ░░░░░░░░ States Senate And as ░░░░░░░░ race gets closer we ░░░░░░░░ have them in the ░░░░░░░░ as well I think ░░░░░░░░ will be a lot ░░░░░░░░ defeat because of the ░░░░░░░░ history but we ll ░░░░░░░░ close if we don ░░░░░░░░ get it so we ░░░░░░░░ excited about that Joe ░░░░░░░░ Bob Casey loses Pennsylvania ░░░░░░░░ means Kamala Harris did ░░░░░░░░ well Sarah probably Joe ░░░░░░░░ re moving to the ░░░░░░░░ of ticket splitting Pat ░░░░░░░░ don t think he ░░░░░░░░ lose He s had ░░░░░░░░ blowout polls for months ░░░░░░░░ you expect consolidation as ░░░░░░░░ come to Election Day ░░░░░░░░ mccormick a similar struggle ░░░░░░░░ what oz had not ░░░░░░░░ from the state but ░░░░░░░░ he hasn t been ░░░░░░░░ to connect with voters ░░░░░░░░ the same level and ░░░░░░░░ I think the national ░░░░░░░░ might be a lift ░░░░░░░░ Harris Kailey if we ░░░░░░░░ at the map of ░░░░░░░░ battleground states we re ░░░░░░░░ that polls suggest is ░░░░░░░░ dead heat between Harris ░░░░░░░░ Trump it s not ░░░░░░░░ the case in the ░░░░░░░░ baldwin race for example ░░░░░░░░ which polling is more ░░░░░░░░ the polling in the ░░░░░░░░ races or the Senate ░░░░░░░░ and will we end ░░░░░░░░ with a senator gallego ░░░░░░░░ the same time Trump ░░░░░░░░ Pat I think what ░░░░░░░░ happening in Arizona is ░░░░░░░░ special but I think ░░░░░░░░ most of the polling ░░░░░░░░ I said will continue ░░░░░░░░ consolidate but these durable ░░░░░░░░ I ve seen from ░░░░░░░░ will hold Joe let ░░░░░░░░ stick to this ticket ░░░░░░░░ idea partly your job ░░░░░░░░ have Republicans keep a ░░░░░░░░ in the house Is ░░░░░░░░ possible for that to ░░░░░░░░ even if Kamala Harris ░░░░░░░░ the White House Sarah ░░░░░░░░ is very much so ░░░░░░░░ we re seeing ticket ░░░░░░░░ out there The media ░░░░░░░░ talking about there isn ░░░░░░░░ ticket splitting but there ░░░░░░░░ especially with women Women ░░░░░░░░ willing to ticket split ░░░░░░░░ you ll see it ░░░░░░░░ North Carolina for example ░░░░░░░░ ll see a Trump ░░░░░░░░ but not the governor ░░░░░░░░ vote They ll either ░░░░░░░░ split or skip that ░░░░░░░░ because he s down ░░░░░░░░ 27 approval Joe imagine ░░░░░░░░ world and put together ░░░░░░░░ you both just said ░░░░░░░░ kailey on election night ░░░░░░░░ Harris wins Pennsylvania and ░░░░░░░░ Carolina maybe we re ░░░░░░░░ waiting a week in ░░░░░░░░ scenario Kailey I think ░░░░░░░░ re all crossing our ░░░░░░░░ we don t have ░░░░░░░░ wait a week Joe ░░░░░░░░ the grace of god ░░░░░░░░ but if the house ░░░░░░░░ stays and it could ░░░░░░░░ a Republican Senate potentially ░░░░░░░░ that scenario I imagine ░░░░░░░░ Senate won t stay ░░░░░░░░ if the house stays ░░░░░░░░ and you get potentially ░░░░░░░░ Harris presidency What gets ░░░░░░░░ in that government What ░░░░░░░░ done if it s ░░░░░░░░ red Senate and blue ░░░░░░░░ Sarah if it s ░░░░░░░░ hopefully she ll be ░░░░░░░░ to compromise with the ░░░░░░░░ and Senate and get ░░░░░░░░ done We ve seen ░░░░░░░░ Bill Clinton we were ░░░░░░░░ and got things done ░░░░░░░░ if it s Trump ░░░░░░░░ agenda pretty much will ░░░░░░░░ through Joe get a ░░░░░░░░ bill passed Pat potentially ░░░░░░░░ Trump has citied to ░░░░░░░░ a wrist in any ░░░░░░░░ solution Would he continue ░░░░░░░░ do that after losing ░░░░░░░░ presidential race We don ░░░░░░░░ know How much power ░░░░░░░░ he have over the ░░░░░░░░ I think he ll ░░░░░░░░ to be a problem ░░░░░░░░ the party either way ░░░░░░░░ we ll see Kailey ░░░░░░░░ depends who party leadership ░░░░░░░░ going to be Sarah ░░░░░░░░ the Republicans do not ░░░░░░░░ control of the house ░░░░░░░░ becomes of current speaker ░░░░░░░░ Johnson is he a ░░░░░░░░ in the minority Sarah ░░░░░░░░ don t know it ░░░░░░░░ be up for the ░░░░░░░░ to decide and there ░░░░░░░░ a lot of talk ░░░░░░░░ that now and luckily ░░░░░░░░ don t get to ░░░░░░░░ on that I ll ░░░░░░░░ about it I don ░░░░░░░░ know how it plays ░░░░░░░░ But if we lose ░░░░░░░░ house again it will ░░░░░░░░ by three or four ░░░░░░░░ either way No matter ░░░░░░░░ we re looking at ░░░░░░░░ re looking at a ░░░░░░░░ tight house which again ░░░░░░░░ be difficult to govern ░░░░░░░░ matter who you are ░░░░░░░░ in that scenario a ░░░░░░░░ seats change but the ░░░░░░░░ of the matter is ░░░░░░░░ Johnson has proven fundraising ░░░░░░░░ and is a lot ░░░░░░░░ do for a former ░░░░░░░░ and doesn t it ░░░░░░░░ him in a leadership ░░░░░░░░ Sarah if we keep ░░░░░░░░ house we will I ░░░░░░░░ t know about the ░░░░░░░░ As I said I ░░░░░░░░ t get involved in ░░░░░░░░ races and let the ░░░░░░░░ do that and just ░░░░░░░░ Kailey if it s ░░░░░░░░ a Mike Johnson leader ░░░░░░░░ he the most honest ░░░░░░░░ Democrats can work with ░░░░░░░░ what if it s ░░░░░░░░ Jim Jordan or somebody ░░░░░░░░ Pat we definitely could ░░░░░░░░ worse But I wouldn ░░░░░░░░ say it s a ░░░░░░░░ honest broker and regardless ░░░░░░░░ his own preferences that ░░░░░░░░ has shown itself ungovernable ░░░░░░░░ many many ways He ░░░░░░░░ held on this long ░░░░░░░░ you know if this ░░░░░░░░ any tighter I won ░░░░░░░░ know how he ll ░░░░░░░░ that crew Joe two ░░░░░░░░ to go let it ░░░░░░░░ over you Sarah and ░░░░░░░░ thanks for a