UC Davis Professor: With Climate Change over the Next Century We’ll See ‘Further Intensification’ of Storms
ULLRICH: "In terms of overall intensity, the science is pretty clear that there is a slight upward trend in overall intensity. And in the historical record, we have seen some really killer storms like the 1935 labor day hurricane. In terms of what we have seen this year, conditions have been very conducive to the formation of these storms. It is expected at least with climate change over the next century we’ll see further intensification of the storm. So we’re looking by end of century to see something like 10% increase in the average intensity of the storms and 20% increase in overall rainfall. Just in order to benchmark what a 10% increase means, that’s half a category of your typical hurricane. What would be pegged as halfway through a category 3 would be bumped up to category 4 because of the boost in conditions brought on by climate effects."