Johns Hopkins Doctor Predicts Covid ‘Will Be Mostly Gone By April’

PERINO And Doctor in ░░░░░░░░ Wall Street Journal today ░░░░░░░░ have a piece that ░░░░░░░░ recommend the people to ░░░░░░░░ want to get your ░░░░░░░░ on it It says ░░░░░░░░ ll have herd immunity ░░░░░░░░ April You say that ░░░░░░░░ shouldn t try to ░░░░░░░░ the public by hiding ░░░░░░░░ truth as we encourage ░░░░░░░░ to get a vaccine ░░░░░░░░ also need to reopen ░░░░░░░░ and society to limit ░░░░░░░░ damage of closures and ░░░░░░░░ isolation Contingency planning for ░░░░░░░░ open economy by April ░░░░░░░░ deliver hope to those ░░░░░░░░ despair and to those ░░░░░░░░ have made large personal ░░░░░░░░ Some people might say ░░░░░░░░ s widely premature but ░░░░░░░░ think April Tell us ░░░░░░░░ MAKARY Well first of ░░░░░░░░ I think most scientists ░░░░░░░░ well intended I ve ░░░░░░░░ had some personal conversations ░░░░░░░░ folks who ve said ░░░░░░░░ t put this out ░░░░░░░░ in public because then ░░░░░░░░ might not get the ░░░░░░░░ or they might stop ░░░░░░░░ precautions but I think ░░░░░░░░ need to be honest ░░░░░░░░ s a 76 percent ░░░░░░░░ in daily cases Dana ░░░░░░░░ the last six weeks ░░░░░░░░ as a scientist have ░░░░░░░░ ask why We cannot ░░░░░░░░ that by vaccinated immunity ░░░░░░░░ can t explain it ░░░░░░░░ a sudden change in ░░░░░░░░ It s natural immunity ░░░░░░░░ it s now over ░░░░░░░░ percent of the population ░░░░░░░░ reason we sort of ░░░░░░░░ that prevalence is that ░░░░░░░░ ve relied on these ░░░░░░░░ tests that look at ░░░░░░░░ many people in society ░░░░░░░░ immunity looking at antibodies ░░░░░░░░ it s not just ░░░░░░░░ antibodies It s the ░░░░░░░░ cells that develop memory ░░░░░░░░ s these memory T ░░░░░░░░ that get activated And ░░░░░░░░ study from Sweden s ░░░░░░░░ Institute found that you ░░░░░░░░ far more likely to ░░░░░░░░ those activated T cells ░░░░░░░░ you are to have ░░░░░░░░ antibody A study affirmed ░░░░░░░░ Europe looking at people ░░░░░░░░ were exposed to a ░░░░░░░░ member who had Covid ░░░░░░░░ even though they had ░░░░░░░░ symptoms whatsoever they had ░░░░░░░░ T cells And that ░░░░░░░░ why U K scientists ░░░░░░░░ the BMJ just said ░░░░░░░░ ve underestimated T cell ░░░░░░░░ and I think that ░░░░░░░░ why we re seeing ░░░░░░░░ reduction HEMMER I saw ░░░░░░░░ headline this morning We ░░░░░░░░ all like hey this ░░░░░░░░ great news I ve ░░░░░░░░ watching the reaction online ░░░░░░░░ re getting a lot ░░░░░░░░ pushback A lot of ░░░░░░░░ in the medical community ░░░░░░░░ this is wishful thinking ░░░░░░░░ words as of this ░░░░░░░░ 15 percent of Americans ░░░░░░░░ received the vaccine The ░░░░░░░░ is rising fast That ░░░░░░░░ increase over time but ░░░░░░░░ re not there yet ░░░░░░░░ if you think Covid ░░░░░░░░ gone by April and ░░░░░░░░ many are still waiting ░░░░░░░░ the vaccine how can ░░░░░░░░ justify that MAKARY Well ░░░░░░░░ of all I don ░░░░░░░░ think it will be ░░░░░░░░ I think we ll ░░░░░░░░ at very low levels ░░░░░░░░ infection by April Extremely ░░░░░░░░ levels And that s ░░░░░░░░ based on the slope ░░░░░░░░ the rate of decline ░░░░░░░░ Got it Doc sorry ░░░░░░░░ the current trajectory I ░░░░░░░░ Covid will be mostly ░░░░░░░░ by April Those are ░░░░░░░░ words Continue MAKARY That ░░░░░░░░ right Look at the ░░░░░░░░ of decline We ve ░░░░░░░░ about half the country ░░░░░░░░ estimate 55 percent based ░░░░░░░░ the sampling capture rate ░░░░░░░░ tested confirmed cases About ░░░░░░░░ percent of the country ░░░░░░░░ natural immunity Now add ░░░░░░░░ that vaccinated immunity 15 ░░░░░░░░ of the country by ░░░░░░░░ end of this week ░░░░░░░░ to 40 percent of ░░░░░░░░ country by early April ░░░░░░░░ will kick in We ░░░░░░░░ studies today on the ░░░░░░░░ of the first dose ░░░░░░░░ the vaccine The first ░░░░░░░░ alone kicks in and ░░░░░░░░ re going to see ░░░░░░░░ easier supply distribution given ░░░░░░░░ new finding today that ░░░░░░░░ can use regular freezers ░░░░░░░░ of minus 80 degree ░░░░░░░░ So vaccinated immunity is ░░░░░░░░ to augment natural immunity.”