Seth Meyers: Trump’s Lead Doesn’t Mean Anything, Only 8 Percent Reply to Pollsters

MEYERS: "But here's the thing about those polls, there's reason to think they might not really mean anything. For one thing polls in general become much less reliable partially because people hate answering polls. Polling response rates used to be more than 90%, now they've fallen to 8%. 8%. That's a lower response rate than student loan collector and mother-in-law. Another reason to be skeptical of Trump's lead, is the polls at this point in the race just aren't that good at predicting the actual results. At this time in 2008, for example, Rudy Giuliani was leading the Republican field by three points. And in 2004, Howard Dean was leading the democratic field by 15 points. And of course, Dean went on to torpedo his campaign by doing this -- "
DEAN [video]: "And then we're going to Washington DC to take back the White House. Yeah!"
MEYERS: "That one moment killed Dean's campaign. I mean, imagine, imagine if a candidate did something like that in 2016."
TRUMP [video]: "Ah, I don't know what I said. I don't remember."
MEYERS: "Different time, I guess. So the polls showing Trump in the lead for the last few months might not mean anything. In the end, all that matters is whether your supporters actually show up and vote on primary day. And in that department there's reason to be skeptical of Trump's lead, too. For example, one Trump supporter in Iowa, recently told the 'Washington Post,' I will give him 100%. But when asked if that included going to the caucus to actually vote for Trump, the man said, "We're gonna see. With kids and grandkids and all this, it's kind of hectic. We'll look into it. If our time is available, then yeah, maybe we'll do it. Maybe, we will have to see." So, that guy supports Trump 100% come voting day, like your buddies support you 100% come moving day. "Oh, man, today, I'd love to. But I got to take down my tree, my grandma's gonna die like any day, so I might not make it.""